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Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession

Author(s): Watson, Mark W.

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dc.contributor.authorWatson, Mark W.-
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-06T18:36:03Z-
dc.date.available2020-04-06T18:36:03Z-
dc.date.issued2014-05en_US
dc.identifier.citationWatson, Mark W. (2014). Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession. American Economic Review, 104 (5), 31 - 36. doi:10.1257/aer.104.5.31en_US
dc.identifier.issn0002-8282-
dc.identifier.urihttp://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/pr1xj6k-
dc.description.abstractThe rate of inflation fell far less over the period 2007-2013 than in the period 1979-1985 despite similar large increases in the unemployment rate. This paper asks why. Possible explanations include a change in the persistence of inflation, changes in NAIRU, and other shocks. A change in the persistence of inflation, with inflation more anchored in the period 2007-2013 than in the period 1979-1985, is found to be important. The level and change in the NAIRU cannot be precisely estimated, but the data suggest an increase of nearly 1 percentage point since 2007.en_US
dc.format.extent31 - 36en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.relation.ispartofAmerican Economic Reviewen_US
dc.rightsFinal published version. Article is made available in OAR by the publisher's permission or policy.en_US
dc.titleInflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recessionen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.identifier.doidoi:10.1257/aer.104.5.31-
pu.type.symplectichttp://www.symplectic.co.uk/publications/atom-terms/1.0/journal-articleen_US

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