Skip to main content

The Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?

Author(s): Krueger, Alan B.; Mas, Alexandre; Niu, Xiaotong

Download
To refer to this page use: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/pr1h479
Full metadata record
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorKrueger, Alan B.-
dc.contributor.authorMas, Alexandre-
dc.contributor.authorNiu, Xiaotong-
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-23T22:57:15Z-
dc.date.available2020-01-23T22:57:15Z-
dc.date.issued2017-05-02en_US
dc.identifier.citationKrueger, Alan B, Mas, Alexandre, Niu, Xiaotong. (2017). The Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 99 (2), 258 - 264. doi:10.1162/REST_a_00630en_US
dc.identifier.issn0034-6535-
dc.identifier.urihttp://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/pr1h479-
dc.description.abstractWe document that rotation group bias—the tendency for the unemployment rate to vary systematically by month in sample—in the Current Population Survey (CPS) has worsened over time. Estimated unemployment rates for earlier rotation groups have grown sharply relative to later rotation groups; both should be nationally representative samples. This bias increased discretely after the 1994 CPS redesign, and rising nonresponse rates are likely a significant contributor. Survey nonresponse increased after the redesign, mirroring the evolution of rotation group bias. Consistent with this explanation, rotation group bias for households that responded in all eight interviews remained stable over time.en_US
dc.format.extent258 - 264en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofThe Review of Economics and Statisticsen_US
dc.rightsFinal published version. Article is made available in OAR by the publisher's permission or policy.en_US
dc.titleThe Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?en_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.identifier.doidoi:10.1162/REST_a_00630-
dc.identifier.eissn1530-9142-
pu.type.symplectichttp://www.symplectic.co.uk/publications/atom-terms/1.0/journal-articleen_US

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
rest_a_00630.pdf1.02 MBAdobe PDFView/Download


Items in OAR@Princeton are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.