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Modeling epidemics on adaptively evolving networks: A data-mining perspective

Author(s): Kattis, Assimakis A.; Holiday, Alexander; Stoica, Ana-Andreea; Kevrekidis, Yannis G.

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Abstract: The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a few "good observables") that usefully summarize the overall (macroscopic, systems-level) behavior. Obtaining reduced, small size accurate models in terms of these few statistical observables--that is, trying to coarse-grain the full network epidemic model to a small but useful macroscopic one--is even more daunting. Here we describe a data-based approach to solving the first challenge: the detection of a few informative collective observables of the detailed epidemic dynamics. This is accomplished through Diffusion Maps (DMAPS), a recently developed data-mining technique. We illustrate the approach through simulations of a simple mathematical model of epidemics on a network: a model known to exhibit complex temporal dynamics. We discuss potential extensions of the approach, as well as possible shortcomings.
Publication Date: Jan-2016
Citation: Kattis, Assimakis A, Holiday, Alexander, Stoica, Ana-Andreea, Kevrekidis, Yannis G. (2016). Modeling epidemics on adaptively evolving networks: A data-mining perspective. Virulence, 7 (2), 153 - 162. doi:10.1080/21505594.2015.1121357
DOI: doi:10.1080/21505594.2015.1121357
ISSN: 2150-5594
EISSN: 2150-5608
Pages: 153 - 162
Language: eng
Type of Material: Journal Article
Journal/Proceeding Title: Virulence
Version: Final published version. This is an open access article.

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