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dc.contributor.authorAdrian, Tobias-
dc.contributor.authorBrunnermeier, Markus K-
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-04T18:58:49Z-
dc.date.available2019-12-04T18:58:49Z-
dc.date.issued2016-07en_US
dc.identifier.citationAdrian, Tobias, Brunnermeier, Markus K. (2016). CoVaR. American Economic Review, 106 (7), 1705 - 1741. doi:10.1257/aer.20120555en_US
dc.identifier.issn0002-8282-
dc.identifier.urihttp://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/pr1mj2t-
dc.description.abstractCoVaR, defined as the change in the value at risk of the financial system conditional on an institution being under distress relative to its median state. Our estimates show that characteristics such as leverage, size, maturity mismatch, and asset price booms significantly predict CoVaR. We also provide out-of-sample forecasts of a countercyclical, forward-looking measure of systemic risk, and show that the 2006:IV value of this measure would have predicted more than one-third of realized CoVaR during the 2007-2009 financial crisis.en_US
dc.format.extent1705 - 1741en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofAmerican Economic Reviewen_US
dc.rightsFinal published version. Article is made available in OAR by the publisher's permission or policy.en_US
dc.titleCoVaRen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.identifier.doidoi:10.1257/aer.20120555-
pu.type.symplectichttp://www.symplectic.co.uk/publications/atom-terms/1.0/journal-articleen_US

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